Formulating risk

Risk formulation is based on the above factors and all other items of history and mental state.

It should take into account that risk is dynamic and, where possible, specify factors likely to increase the risk of dangerousness or those likely to mitigate violence, as well as signs that indicate increasing risk.

Risk formulation brings together an understanding of personality, history, mental state, environment, potential causes and protective factors, or changes in any of these. It should aim to answer the following questions:

  • How serious is the risk?
  • How immediate is the risk?
  • Is the risk specific or general?
  • How volatile is the risk?
  • What are the signs of increasing risk?
  • Which specific treatment, and which management plan, can best reduce the risk?
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